Thirty-one matches without defeat. That is the statement Morocco carry into their World Cup meeting with Haiti, a streak that frames everything about this contest. Add an eight-game run with at least one goal and an average of 2.15 goals at home, and the Atlas Lions arrive with form and firepower to set the agenda. The storyline that matters most is the first goal. Numbers are stark: when Morocco lead 1-0 at home, they finish the job 88% of the time. When they fall behind 0-1 at home, they still rally to win half their matches. Haiti’s away profile is the mirror image—perfect when striking first (100% wins after leading 0-1 away) but unable to recover when conceding first (0% wins when down 1-0 away). All roads point to a chess match over the opening strike. Expect Morocco to leverage a strong first-half pattern—51% of their matches are won at halftime, edging Haiti’s 45%. That tilt, combined with their current attacking rhythm, suggests an early push from the hosts: aggressive pressing, quick combinations to draw the back line out, and controlled restarts to pin Haiti deep. The visitors’ path is more direct: compress space, survive the first 20 minutes, then look to break with speed into the channels. If Haiti can score first, the sample tells us they become a very difficult out. Context matters, too. Morocco have a better World Cup pedigree and superior form over the last five matches. Both sides failed to win their most recent World Cup match, so the urgency is mutual, but recent evidence favors the hosts. With Morocco scoring in eight straight, and Haiti averaging 2.0 goals on the road, there is scope for chances at both ends if transitions open up. Projection: Morocco to avoid defeat feels like the clearest read, with a strong lean toward a home win if they strike first. The first-half market slightly favors Morocco based on historical trends. Above all, the opening goal is the pivot: if Morocco find it, the numbers lean heavily their way; if Haiti land the first punch, the dynamic flips fast. Either way, the unbeaten run and clinical home profile place the Atlas Lions in command of the narrative.