If this match is decided late, don’t be surprised. SC Freiburg score 24% of their goals between minutes 76–90, while 1. FC Heidenheim hit 28% in the same window—two of the league’s most dangerous late-game sides. Add Freiburg’s historical edge and Heidenheim’s travel struggles, and the narrative points to a tense finish with momentum on the home side. Head-to-head favors Freiburg: four wins from the last seven meetings, a 12–7 goal difference, and a clean sweep last season (1–0 at home, 3–0 away). At home, Freiburg haven’t lost to Heidenheim in their last three encounters, and they’ve failed to score in just one of 14 Bundesliga home matches this season—a strong signal of reliability in front of their own fans. The contrast with Heidenheim’s away form is stark. They have not won any of their last eight away fixtures and own a 1-2-11 record on the road this season, failing to score in six of 14 away matches. That combination—blunt attack on travels and late goals conceded under pressure—has repeatedly cost them points. The timing trends also hint at how this game might unfold. Freiburg register only 5% of their goals between minutes 16–30 (the league’s lowest share for that window), suggesting a measured start. Expect a tactical first half, with Freiburg building control gradually and increasing the tempo after the break. Heidenheim will likely try to compress space and keep the score level deep into the second half, but they must withstand Freiburg’s late surges and set-piece threat. Key storylines: Freiburg’s late push versus Heidenheim’s fading away form; a home side that rarely blanks against a visitor that too often does. If the game is tight on 70 minutes, substitutions and game management around the 75th minute could prove decisive. The margins may come from restarts, fresh legs, and concentration. Implications: For Freiburg, a win would reinforce their top-half ambitions and maintain an authoritative stance over this opponent. For Heidenheim, ending the away drought would be a statement result—and it likely requires a near-perfect defensive display. Prediction: Freiburg to edge a tight contest, with the decisive moment arriving late. Probable scorelines: 1–0 or 2–0.