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Spain’s steel meets Belgium’s streak: friendly preview

Two unbeaten runs collide as Spain host Belgium in a marquee international friendly defined by control, resilience and a compelling head‑to‑head narrative. Spain arrive with four straight wins, 15 games without defeat and, most impressively, five consecutive clean sheets. Belgium counter with a 3‑match winning streak and an 18‑game unbeaten surge, but they have not won any of their last five meetings with La Roja. History tilts the matchup. In the last 10 encounters, Spain lead 7‑2‑1 with a 22‑7 goal difference, and the most common scoreline between these sides is 2‑0 to Spain (three times). Spain also took the last meeting by a two‑goal margin, reinforcing a pattern: when matches slow into structure and territory battles, Spain’s control tends to tell. The first goal looks decisive. Spain win 66% of first halves and convert a 1‑0 home lead into victory 75% of the time. Belgium are formidable front‑runners away—when they lead 0‑1 on the road, they close out the result 100% of the time—and even when trailing 1‑0 away, they fight back to win in 50% of cases. That resilience is why their long unbeaten run has withstood pressure spells. Expect a chess match of tempo and territory. Spain’s high press and possession structure have underpinned their clean‑sheet streak; full‑backs stepping inside, midfield rotations and aggressive counter‑pressing have kept opponents at arm’s length. Belgium will aim to puncture that rhythm with direct transitions and runs into the channels, leaning on quick combination play to bypass Spain’s first line. Set pieces could be pivotal in a tight game where margins are slim. Spain’s defensive control suggests a low‑scoring landscape, but Belgium’s away resilience ensures this won’t be a procession. If Spain seize the initiative early, their record when ahead at home becomes a powerful lever; if Belgium land the first punch, Spain’s need to chase risks opening the game. Projection: edge to Spain. The data—clean‑sheet form, first‑half dominance, and a commanding head‑to‑head—leans toward La Roja. With 2‑0 the most frequent outcome in this series, a narrow Spain win without conceding is a plausible script, though Belgium’s unbeaten backbone guarantees a full‑throttle contest.
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