Spain’s 10-game unbeaten run faces a live-wire Cape Verde side riding three straight wins and five consecutive matches with a goal. The matchup pivots on a decisive theme: whoever scores first may control the script. Cape Verde have won 100% of their away games when leading 1-0, yet have never overturned a 1-0 deficit on the road. Spain, meanwhile, win 66% of their home matches when they get the first goal—enough to tilt momentum in their favor if they start fast. All signs point to a strong opening phase from the hosts. Spain have claimed the first half in 70% of their recent outings, a reflection of their command in tempo and territory. That trend matters against a Cape Verde team that wins 50% of its first halves: a difference at the break often dictates the tone of the final outcome. If Spain assert control early, Cape Verde’s path narrows considerably; if Cape Verde ride out the opening press and land the first punch, the upset window opens wide. Expect goals. Spain average 2.14 goals at home, while Cape Verde produce 2.33 away on average. Combined with Cape Verde’s five-game scoring streak, the forecast leans toward an open contest with enough chances at both ends. Spain’s edge often comes from structure and sustained pressure, but Cape Verde’s recent form suggests confidence in transition and the incisiveness to capitalize on space. Key battlegrounds include the first 20 minutes and halftime management. Spain’s ability to pin opponents back and create repeat entries should test Cape Verde’s defensive shape. Conversely, Cape Verde’s direct counters and willingness to shoot early could keep Spain honest. The implications are twofold. For Spain, this is a control test: can they turn early dominance into a clean margin and extend their unbeaten sequence? For Cape Verde, it’s a statement opportunity—proof that their winning streak and away scoring form translate against a higher-ranked opponent. On balance, Spain’s first-half efficiency and home output make them favorites, but the first goal remains the swing factor that could redefine the game’s trajectory.