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CSD Macara vs CD Cuenca
Match Prediction Report
Full Game
| Key Indicator | Predicted Value |
|---|---|
| 1x2 Result Probability | Home · Home 45% / Draw 30% / Away 25% |
| Correct Score | 2 - 1 |
| Double Chance probability | 1X 75% / X2 55% / 12 70% |
| Both Teams To Score probability | Yes 52% / No 48% |
| Asian Handicap | Home -0.25 · Home covers |
| Over / Under | Over 2.0 |
| Clean Sheet | Home: No · Away: No |
| Total Corners | 9 |
| Corner Division | Home 5 – Away 4 |
| Total Cards (Yellow / Red) | 5Y / 0R |
| Card Division | Home 3Y/0R – Away 2Y/0R |
1st Half
| Key Indicator | Predicted Value |
|---|---|
| 1x2 Result Probability | Draw · Home 31% / Draw 45% / Away 24% |
| Half-Time Score | 0 - 0 |
| Both Teams To Score probability | Yes 22% / No 78% |
| Asian Handicap | Away +0.25 · Away covers |
| Over / Under | Under 1.0 |
| Total Corners | 4 |
| Total Cards (Yellow / Red) | 2Y / 0R |
2nd Half
| Key Indicator | Predicted Value |
|---|---|
| 1x2 Result Probability | Home · Home 43% / Draw 32% / Away 25% |
| 2nd Half Score | 2 - 1 (2nd half only, not cumulative) |
| Both Teams To Score probability | Yes 58% / No 42% |
| Asian Handicap | Home -0.25 · Home covers |
| Over / Under | Over 1.5 |
| Total Corners | 5 |
| Total Cards (Yellow / Red) | 3Y / 0R |
Latest Data
- Odds snapshot (Bet365, latest update): 1x2 2.05 / 3.10 / 3.60; Asian Handicap Home -0.25 (1.80) vs Away +0.25 (2.00); Over/Under 2.0 — Over 1.88, Under 1.92; HT 1x2: Home 2.88, Draw 1.95, Away 4.50. Market leans slightly to Home and marginally to Over 2.0.
- Recent form: Home LWWWD; Away LWLWW.
- Head-to-head (recent): CSD Macara unbeaten vs CD Cuenca in last five (W3 D2), conceding only twice; two 1-1 draws away from Ambato, and narrow home wins for CSD Macara.
- Likely tactical shapes: Home 4-2-3-1 with full-back overlaps and an active No.10 between the lines; Away 4-4-2/4-2-3-1 mid-block, direct counters through the flanks and strong set-piece focus.
- Player tendencies: Home’s striker attacks near-post zones and drags center-backs wide; wingers cut inside for shots. Away’s target forward links play with late midfield runners; wide men deliver early crosses.
- Referee profile: Moderate-to-high foul density, typically 24–28 fouls; 4–6 yellows expected, low red-card likelihood, which aligns with a physical but controlled contest.
- Standings context: Tight top-half battle; three points would strengthen CSD Macara’s push for upper places, while CD Cuenca need a result to stay in touch with the chasing pack.
90 Minutes Prediction Result
2 - 1
AI Match Analysis
CSD Macara arrive with steadier momentum (LWWWD) than CD Cuenca’s more volatile run (LWLWW). Recent meetings tilt clearly toward CSD Macara, who are unbeaten in the last five and have kept the scoring against them modest. The fixture profile points to narrow margins rather than a rout.
Tactically, CSD Macara’s 4-2-3-1 should take territorial initiative, using overlapping full-backs and an active No.10 to overload half-spaces. CD Cuenca are comfortable in a compact mid-block, springing quickly into the channels and leaning on set pieces. Expect midfield pace to be measured early, with a second-half pressing shift from CSD Macara raising chance volume.
With stakes in the top-half race, discipline and rest-defense will matter. A cagey opening could give way to a more open second period where CSD Macara’s wider threat and second-ball efficiency edge the shot quality. CD Cuenca still pose danger on transitions, but the balance of territory and chances points to a one-goal home win with both teams on the board.
AI Prediction Summary
CSD Macara’s recent LWWWD sequence suggests a steadier platform than CD Cuenca’s LWLWW, and the head-to-head trend is firmly on CSD Macara’s side. The game likely starts cagey, then opens after the interval as CSD Macara push higher and create through overlaps and a busy No.10. CD Cuenca will have moments in transition and from set plays, but the overall shot quality and territorial momentum favor CSD Macara. Final call: CSD Macara 2-1 CD Cuenca. CSD Macara are more likely to win, with a tighter first half and a livelier second half deciding it.