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NK Kustosija Zagreb vs Krka Novo Mesto
Match Prediction Report
Full Game
| Key Indicator | Predicted Value |
|---|---|
| 1x2 Result Probability | Home · Home 44% / Draw 29% / Away 27% |
| Correct Score | 2 - 1 |
| Double Chance probability | 1X 73% / X2 56% / 12 71% |
| Both Teams To Score probability | Yes 54% / No 46% |
| Asian Handicap | Home -0.25 · Home covers |
| Over / Under | 2.5 |
| Clean Sheet | Home: No · Away: No |
| Total Corners | 9 |
| Corner Division | Home 5 – Away 4 |
| Total Cards (Yellow / Red) | 5Y / 0R |
| Card Division | Home 3Y/0R – Away 2Y/0R |
1st Half
| Key Indicator | Predicted Value |
|---|---|
| 1x2 Result Probability | Home · Home 41% / Draw 39% / Away 20% |
| Half-Time Score | 1 - 0 |
| Both Teams To Score probability | Yes 32% / No 68% |
| Asian Handicap | Home -0.25 · Home covers |
| Over / Under | 1.0 |
| Total Corners | 4 |
| Total Cards (Yellow / Red) | 2Y / 0R |
2nd Half
| Key Indicator | Predicted Value |
|---|---|
| 1x2 Result Probability | Draw · Home 34% / Draw 36% / Away 30% |
| 2nd Half Score | 1 - 1 (2nd half only, not cumulative) |
| Both Teams To Score probability | Yes 51% / No 49% |
| Asian Handicap | Away +0.25 · Away covers |
| Over / Under | 1.25 |
| Total Corners | 5 |
| Total Cards (Yellow / Red) | 3Y / 0R |
Latest Data
- Odds snapshot (Bet365, latest update): market shading toward Home on the 1x2; draw seen as the secondary outcome; handicap lens around -0.25 to Home; totals framed near 2.5.
- Recent form: Home WWLDL; Away LWDDD.
- Head-to-head (recent): no recent meetings on record.
- Likely tactical shapes: Home to line up 4-2-3-1 with a compact double pivot and quick wide breaks; Away leaning 4-4-2/4-3-3 hybrid, narrower block and direct counters into the channels.
- Player tendencies: Home wingers look to isolate full-backs and cut inside; a target-forward pins the center-backs with late box runs. Away rely on a mobile front pairing, near-post runs from crosses, and second-ball aggression off long diagonals.
- Referee profile: moderate foul threshold, typically allows advantage; card count around average with low red probability, aligning with a 5Y/0R projection.
- Standings context: preseason-style matchup with no points at stake; rhythm, fitness, and integrating new pieces matter, though momentum from recent results adds competitive edge.
90 Minutes Prediction Result
2 - 1
AI Match Analysis
NK Kustosija Zagreb arrive with the slightly better momentum and a sharper edge in results, and their home rhythm should help them control field position early. The recent sequence suggests they start on the front foot, using a 4-2-3-1 to press selectively and spring wide runners. That tends to generate more entries from the half-spaces and a steady stream of set pieces, a useful route against a compact opponent.
Krka Novo Mesto’s run of draws points to defensive resilience but limited end-product. Their structure often narrows out of possession and looks for quick releases into the channels, which can trouble a back line that steps high. However, NK Kustosija Zagreb have shown decent second-ball recovery, and their box occupation is more consistent across 90 minutes, which tilts close contests.
Expect a medium tempo with phases of transition: NK Kustosija Zagreb probing down the flanks, Krka Novo Mesto soaking and countering. With few clear head-to-head clues, recent scoring patterns and territorial trends lean to a narrow home success, with Krka Novo Mesto still dangerous enough to get on the board once.
AI Prediction Summary
NK Kustosija Zagreb’s recent WWLDL line hints at a higher attacking ceiling than Krka Novo Mesto’s LWDDD, and the home side’s flank play should create the better chances. The game flow points to NK Kustosija Zagreb starting with territorial initiative, while Krka Novo Mesto threaten sporadically on transition. Over 90 minutes, NK Kustosija Zagreb’s box presence and set-piece value give them the edge in a close contest. Final prediction: NK Kustosija Zagreb 2-1 Krka Novo Mesto. NK Kustosija Zagreb are more likely to win, with Krka Novo Mesto capable of a response but less consistent in sustained buildup.