聊天
AI对话
AI预测
赔率
数据
Club Nacional de Football vs CA Progreso
Match Prediction Report
Full Game
| Key Indicator | Predicted Value |
|---|---|
| 1x2 Result Probability | Home · Home 61% / Draw 23% / Away 16% |
| Correct Score | 2 - 1 |
| Double Chance probability | 1X 84% / X2 39% / 12 77% |
| Both Teams To Score probability | Yes 52% / No 48% |
| Asian Handicap | Home -1.0 · Home covers |
| Over / Under | 2.5 · Over |
| Clean Sheet | Home: No · Away: No |
| Total Corners | 10 |
| Corner Division | Home 6 – Away 4 |
| Total Cards (Yellow / Red) | 6Y / 0R |
| Card Division | Home 3Y/0R – Away 3Y/0R |
1st Half
| Key Indicator | Predicted Value |
|---|---|
| 1x2 Result Probability | Draw · Home 37% / Draw 45% / Away 18% |
| Half-Time Score | 1 - 0 |
| Both Teams To Score probability | Yes 30% / No 70% |
| Asian Handicap | Home -0.25 · Home covers |
| Over / Under | 1.0 · Under |
| Total Corners | 5 |
| Total Cards (Yellow / Red) | 3Y / 0R |
2nd Half
| Key Indicator | Predicted Value |
|---|---|
| 1x2 Result Probability | Home · Home 45% / Draw 33% / Away 22% |
| 2nd Half Score | 1 - 1 (2nd half only, not cumulative) |
| Both Teams To Score probability | Yes 42% / No 58% |
| Asian Handicap | Home -0.25 · Home covers |
| Over / Under | 1.0 · Over |
| Total Corners | 5 |
| Total Cards (Yellow / Red) | 3Y / 0R |
Latest Data
- Odds snapshot (Unibet, latest update): 1x2 at 1.47 / 4.10 / 6.25; Asian Handicap Home -1.0 at 1.74 vs Away +1.0 at 1.93; Total 2.5 goals Over 1.75, Under 1.92 — market leans strongly toward Home with a mild tilt to Over 2.5 and Home -1.
- Recent form: Home DWWDD; Away LLLWW.
- Head-to-head (recent): Mixed over last five; CA Progreso have two home wins (including a 5–1), while Club Nacional de Football at home posted two wins (3–1, 1–0) plus a 1–1 draw — Nacional unbeaten in the last three at their ground.
- Likely tactical shapes: Home 4-2-3-1 with possession control, inverted wingers and full-backs overlapping; Away 4-4-2 shifting to 4-5-1 without the ball, mid-block, direct counters and set-piece focus.
- Player tendencies: Home No.9 operates as a focal target with near-post runs; the No.10 links zones and finds half-spaces; wingers cut inside for shots. Away rely on a strong target forward for hold-up, quick wide breaks, and aggressive attacking of second balls.
- Referee profile: Domestic official with moderate-to-high foul detection; expects 5–7 yellows, low red probability, allows physical duels but penalizes repeated tactical fouls.
- Standings context: Club Nacional de Football are tracking the leading pack and need three points to sustain a title push; CA Progreso aim to consolidate after two wins, seeking separation from the bottom third.
90 Minutes Prediction Result
2 - 1
AI Match Analysis
Club Nacional de Football arrive with steadier momentum after a DWWDD run, typically controlling territory and chance volume at home. The recent head-to-heads are mixed overall, but in Montevideo, Club Nacional de Football have handled CA Progreso well, taking two wins and a draw across the last three meetings.
CA Progreso’s five-match pattern flipped from three losses to back-to-back wins, powered by direct counters and set plays. However, their defensive line can sink too deep under pressure, inviting waves of crosses and late runners. That suits Club Nacional de Football’s 4-2-3-1, which creates constant width and second-ball pressure around the box.
With the market shading toward goals and a home margin, the flow projects as Club Nacional de Football dictating possession and territory, CA Progreso threatening sporadically in transition. Physical intensity should be high, with cards clustering around midfield breaks in play. The difference likely comes from Club Nacional de Football’s box occupation and set-piece quality.
AI Prediction Summary
Club Nacional de Football enter this fixture on DWWDD, while CA Progreso have stabilized with LLLWW. Expect Club Nacional de Football to control possession and territory, with CA Progreso looking to counter and lean on set pieces. The tempo points to sustained pressure from Club Nacional de Football, and although CA Progreso can punch back in transitions, the hosts’ attacking structure should create the higher-quality looks. Final call: Club Nacional de Football 2-1. Club Nacional de Football are more likely to win, with their recent home edge in the head-to-heads and better control in buildup making the difference despite CA Progreso’s recent uptick.