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Coritiba FC PR vs SE Palmeiras SP
Match Prediction Report
Full Game
| Key Indicator | Predicted Value |
|---|---|
| 1x2 Result Probability | Away · Home 24% / Draw 28% / Away 48% |
| Correct Score | 0 - 1 |
| Double Chance probability | 1X 52% / X2 76% / 12 72% |
| Both Teams To Score probability | Yes 44% / No 56% |
| Asian Handicap | Away -0.25 · Away covers |
| Over / Under | 2.25 · Under |
| Clean Sheet | Home: No · Away: Yes |
| Total Corners | 9 |
| Corner Division | Home 4 – Away 5 |
| Total Cards (Yellow / Red) | 5Y / 0R |
| Card Division | Home 2Y/0R – Away 3Y/0R |
1st Half
| Key Indicator | Predicted Value |
|---|---|
| 1x2 Result Probability | Draw · Home 24% / Draw 46% / Away 30% |
| Half-Time Score | 0 - 0 |
| Both Teams To Score probability | Yes 18% / No 82% |
| Asian Handicap | Away 0.0 · Away covers |
| Over / Under | 1.0 · Under |
| Total Corners | 4 |
| Total Cards (Yellow / Red) | 2Y / 0R |
2nd Half
| Key Indicator | Predicted Value |
|---|---|
| 1x2 Result Probability | Away · Home 26% / Draw 31% / Away 43% |
| 2nd Half Score | 0 - 1 (2nd half only, not cumulative) |
| Both Teams To Score probability | Yes 35% / No 65% |
| Asian Handicap | Away 0.0 · Away covers |
| Over / Under | 1.25 · Under |
| Total Corners | 5 |
| Total Cards (Yellow / Red) | 3Y / 0R |
Latest Data
- Odds snapshot (Bet365, latest update): 3-way 4.00/3.40/1.91 leans to the away side; Asian Handicap sits around Away -0.25; total goals 2.25 with a slight tilt to the under; half-time market favors the draw.
- Recent form: Home WDLWW; Away WLWWW.
- Head-to-head (recent): Split 2–2 across the last four; all four were won by the away side, including two 0–2 defeats for the home venue and two big away wins when Coritiba FC PR traveled.
- Likely tactical shapes: Home 4-2-3-1 morphing into a compact 4-4-2 without the ball, looking for quick counters and set plays; Away asymmetric 4-3-3/3-2-5 in possession with an inverted full-back, strong pressing triggers, and layered chance creation.
- Player tendencies: Home rely on a target forward to pin center-backs, wingers driving inside, and deep-lying pivots screening; Away emphasize high-press rhythm, quick wide rotations, late box runs from midfield, and strong set-piece delivery.
- Referee profile: Moderate to slightly high booking rate (around 4–5 yellows), low red frequency; allows contact but punishes persistent tactical fouls—aligns with a 5Y/0R projection.
- Standings context: Away side pushing for top-spot contention, valuing control and efficiency; home side hunting points to climb from the lower mid-pack, where home results are pivotal.
90 Minutes Prediction Result
0 - 1
AI Match Analysis
Coritiba FC PR face SE Palmeiras SP on 22 July 2026 with the visitors arriving in stronger rhythm. Coritiba FC PR’s WDLWW shows stabilizing form, yet SE Palmeiras SP’s WLWWW signals higher performance ceiling and better closing power. The recent head-to-head is quirky: four straight away wins, including two 0-2 results in Curitiba, which hints at a matchup where the traveling side’s structure has repeatedly solved the fixture.
Tactically, Coritiba FC PR should compact the center in a 4-2-3-1 block, seeking quick outlets to a focal striker and aggressive wide carries. SE Palmeiras SP are likelier to dictate territory through an asymmetric back line and midfield staggering, using pressing traps to force turnovers and then attacking the half-spaces. With both sides disciplined off the ball, the first half profiles cagey, with clearer shot quality likely tilting to SE Palmeiras SP after the interval.
In the broader table picture, SE Palmeiras SP’s need for steady accumulation aligns with a pragmatic, control-first plan, while Coritiba FC PR must maximize transitions and set pieces to break parity. Over 90 minutes, SE Palmeiras SP’s defensive stability and second-half adjustments look sufficient to edge a low-scoring game.
AI Prediction Summary
Coritiba FC PR come in on WDLWW, but SE Palmeiras SP’s WLWWW points to a sharper edge. Expect a controlled tempo early, with Coritiba FC PR compact between the lines and targeting fast transitions, while SE Palmeiras SP press to keep play in advanced zones and work the half-spaces. Over time, SE Palmeiras SP’s structure and set-piece quality should create the clearest moments, particularly after the break. Final call: SE Palmeiras SP win 1-0. SE Palmeiras SP are more likely to win, with a higher chance of a clean sheet than the reverse, and the decisive moment most plausibly landing in the second half.