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Londrina EC PR vs Gremio Novorizontino SP
Match Prediction Report
Full Game
| Key Indicator | Predicted Value |
|---|---|
| 1x2 Result Probability | Away · Home 31% / Draw 34% / Away 35% |
| Correct Score | 0 - 1 |
| Double Chance probability | 1X 65% / X2 69% / 12 66% |
| Both Teams To Score probability | Yes 41% / No 59% |
| Asian Handicap | Away 0 · Away covers |
| Over / Under | 2.0 Under |
| Clean Sheet | Home: No · Away: Yes |
| Total Corners | 9 |
| Corner Division | Home 4 – Away 5 |
| Total Cards (Yellow / Red) | 6Y / 0R |
| Card Division | Home 3Y/0R – Away 3Y/0R |
1st Half
| Key Indicator | Predicted Value |
|---|---|
| 1x2 Result Probability | Draw · Home 29% / Draw 45% / Away 26% |
| Half-Time Score | 0 - 0 |
| Both Teams To Score probability | Yes 18% / No 82% |
| Asian Handicap | Home +0.25 · Home covers |
| Over / Under | 0.75 Under |
| Total Corners | 4 |
| Total Cards (Yellow / Red) | 3Y / 0R |
2nd Half
| Key Indicator | Predicted Value |
|---|---|
| 1x2 Result Probability | Away · Home 30% / Draw 31% / Away 39% |
| 2nd Half Score | 0 - 1 (2nd half only, not cumulative) |
| Both Teams To Score probability | Yes 36% / No 64% |
| Asian Handicap | Away -0.25 · Away covers |
| Over / Under | 1.25 Under |
| Total Corners | 5 |
| Total Cards (Yellow / Red) | 3Y / 0R |
Latest Data
- Odds snapshot (Bet365, latest update): market leans slightly to Away on the main line with totals shaded toward Under 2.0.
- Recent form: Home WLLWW; Away LLWWW.
- Head-to-head (recent): Gremio Novorizontino SP 3W, Londrina EC PR 1W, 1D; narrow margins in most games, three clean sheets across the last four.
- Likely tactical shapes: Home 4-2-3-1 in a compact mid-block, quick transitions to the wide lanes; Away 4-3-3/4-1-4-1 with controlled buildup and counter-press after losses.
- Player tendencies: Home’s striker attacks near-post crosses and thrives on second balls; inverted wingers look for diagonal shots. Away’s front three stretch the back line with half-space runs; full-backs overlap selectively; set-pieces a key chance source.
- Referee profile: Moderate-to-strict on tactical fouls, typical count around 5–7 yellows, low red frequency — aligns with a physical but controlled contest.
- Standings context: Tight Serie B landscape; points valuable for nudging toward the promotion mix while keeping a cushion from the drop — risk management will matter late on.
90 Minutes Prediction Result
0 - 1
AI Match Analysis
Londrina EC PR and Gremio Novorizontino SP meet with kick-off set in a congested Serie B schedule where small margins define trajectories. Londrina EC PR arrive on WLLWW, showing recovery through better transition control and more assertive wing play at home. Gremio Novorizontino SP come in on LLWWW, a mini-surge powered by cleaner pressing traps and improved final-third efficiency. The recent head-to-head tilts toward Gremio Novorizontino SP with three wins in five, and most meetings have been tight.
Tactically, Londrina EC PR’s 4-2-3-1 should sit in a mid-block, funneling play wide and looking for quick diagonals to isolate full-backs. Gremio Novorizontino SP’s 4-3-3/4-1-4-1 balances patient buildup with second-ball efficiency and selective high-press rhythm. That blend can pin Londrina EC PR back for spells, especially if the pivots are forced into rushed outlets. Set-pieces and counters feel decisive in a game with controlled tempo and limited box penetration.
Expect a cautious first half, few clear looks, and card volume around average as tactical fouls break transitions. As spaces open after the break, Gremio Novorizontino SP’s wider rotations and counter speed give them a slight edge to nick the decisive moment, consistent with their recent momentum and favorable head-to-head trend.
AI Prediction Summary
Londrina EC PR enter on WLLWW, a sign of stabilization at home, while Gremio Novorizontino SP travel on LLWWW, pointing to a rising curve driven by sharper pressing and transitions. The likely flow is cagey early with limited box entries, then opening after halftime as Gremio Novorizontino SP push their wide overloads and second-ball pressure. Head-to-head slightly favors Gremio Novorizontino SP in tight matches, and their recent momentum tilts the balance. Prediction: Gremio Novorizontino SP are more likely to win, edging Londrina EC PR 0-1 through a controlled second half and a set-piece or transition finish.